PIGS Go Bankrupt

Posted on February 9th, 2010 by Patrick J. Buchanan

They are called the PIGS — Portugal, Ireland, Greece, Spain. What they have in common is that all are facing deficits and debts that could bring on national defaults and break up the European Union.

What brought the PIGS to the edge of the abyss?

All are neo-socialist states that provide welfare for poor people, generous unemployment, universal health care, early retirement and comfortable pensions. Most consume 40 percent to 50 percent of their gross domestic product annually, a crushing burden on the private sector.

Dying populations is a second cause. After two world wars, the Europeans lost their faith and embraced hedonism and materialism, la dolce vita. Large families fell out of favor. Women put off marriage and babies, and went to work. Birth control and abortion were made readily available in every country and, if not, just across the border.

For 30 years, the fertility rate of Europe has been below the 2.1 children per woman necessary to replace a population. In Russia and Ukraine, a million people disappear yearly. In Western Europe, the passing of the native-born goes on quietly, as Third World peoples come to fill the empty spaces left by the aborted and unconceived.

Turks are in Germany. Pakistanis, Indians, Arabs and Caribbean peoples are in Britain. Algerians, Tunisians and Moroccans occupy the southern coast of France and the banlieues around Paris.

These newcomers have neither the education nor skills of the Europeans. Hence, they earn less and contribute less in taxes, but consume more per capita in social benefits. Read more…

Miss Him Yet?

Posted on February 8th, 2010 by Clark Stooksbury

Via Memorandum, NPR has a story about a George W. Bush “Miss Me Yet?” billboard in Minnesota. According to John Hindraker at Powerline, it is a view “more widely shared by Americans every day”; while Another Black Conservative suggests a Tea Party connection and asks “wouldn’t it be a hoot if this billboard started cropping up everywhere. . .?”

Since I have a memory longer than, say, a goldfish, I don’t miss George W. Bush. I also remember when right-wingers practically worshiped Bush. John Hindraker said of the former president, after the infamous carrier landing, “Yeah, we’ve had better leaders. Their names were Washington and Lincoln.”

I am still looking for evidence that right-wingers have owned up to their role as cheerleaders for the disastrous Bush years, but haven’t seen it yet.

Palin Misreads Pat

Posted on February 8th, 2010 by Daniel McCarthy

What to make of Sarah Palin’s remarks yesterday on “Fox News Sunday”? Here she is sharing her wisdom about what it might take for Obama to get re-elected:

Say he played, and I got this from Buchanan, reading one of his columns the other day. Say he played the war card. Say he decided to declare war on Iran, or decided to really come out and do whatever he could to support Israel, which I would like him to do. But that changes the dynamics in what we can assume is going to happen between now and three years. Because I think if the election were today, I do not think Obama would be re-elected.

… if he decided to toughen up and do all that he can to secure our nation and our allies. I think people would perhaps shift their thinking a little bit and decide, well, maybe he’s tougher than we think he is today. And there wouldn’t be as much passion to make sure that he doesn’t serve another four years –

She’s read Pat Buchanan’s column on Obama playing the war card, which is great — she’s cribbing her commentary from the best. But when she adds her own spin, it’s to hope that Obama would “do whatever he could do to support Israel” — meaning what exactly? In the context, it sounds like she thinks starting more wars in the Middle East, or taking measures that are likely to lead to more wars, is good for Israel and therefore ought to be American policy. I don’t think for her “do whatever he could do to support Israel” means hosting  talks at Camp David.

Palin wants to be, simultaneously, Pitchfork Sarah and Bill Kristol’s very own Eliza Doolittle. But she’s much more the latter than the former. There’s no room for doubt here: Sarah Palin means war.

Kindlephiles vs. Bibliophiles

Posted on February 6th, 2010 by Clark Stooksbury

Amazon shoppers may have noticed something unusual in the last week—titles published by Macmillan were unavailable from the online bookseller in a dispute over e-book prices. Macmillan (which includes publishers such as Henry Holt, Saint Martin’s; and Farrar, Straus & Giroux), wants Amazon to charge more than the typical $9.99 for e-book titles. I’m not sure who is right or wrong, but the response of some Kindlephiles is interesting. It appears that many are more interested in having books to read on their Kindle than having a Kindle for reading books. Several made statements such as, “No Macmillan books for me. Amazon made a mistake backing down. It will be up to the readers to hold fast.” Many also say that they  “will not . . . ever purchase a Kindle book that costs more than $9.99. To do so would be silly because for a greater price I could own an actual book that I could keep . . .”

It strikes me as odd that anyone would let what they choose to read be determined by the policies of the publisher as opposed to the content of the book. When the new book by Andrew Bacevich(published by Metropolitan Books, a Macmillan imprint) comes out in a few months, I plan to obtain a copy and no other title will serve as a substitute. But I am a book lover, and the content is more important to me than reading it on some sort of gadget, which doesn’t appear to be the case for some Kindlephiles.

I wouldn’t be interested in paying much money for an e-book that I don’t really own and can’t sell or loan out; but I am perplexed as to why people will shell out $259 dollars for an item and then refuse to spend money to load books into it. If the books are worth so little, then why spend so much to read them?

Senator Hold

Posted on February 6th, 2010 by Clark Stooksbury

I can’t understand why Harry Reid is still the Senate Majority Leader when he is so weak and he allows things like this to continue:

Sen. Richard Shelby’s (R-AL) office has confirmed to TPMDC the reports that Shelby has placed a hold on President Obama’s nominees over a pair of government programs set to be based in Alabama. He did not confirm that Shelby has taken the rare step of blocking all of Obama’s nominees, as was reported yesterday.

“Sen. Shelby has placed holds on several pending nominees due to unaddressed national security concerns,” Shelby spokesperson Jonathan Graffeo said in a statement. “Among his concerns” are the progress on multi-billion dollar defense contract that would see planes built in Mobile, AL and Obama’s decision to scrap a $45 million FBI improvised explosive device lab Shelby secured an earmark for in 2008. (emphasis added)

At the very least, Reid should make Sen. Shelby get up and actually filibuster like they used to in the old days.

Will Obama Play the War Card?

Posted on February 4th, 2010 by Patrick J. Buchanan

Republicans already counting the seats they will pick up this fall should keep in mind Obama has a big card yet to play.

Should the president declare he has gone the last mile for a negotiated end to Iran’s nuclear program and impose the “crippling” sanctions he promised in 2008, America would be on an escalator to confrontation that could lead straight to war.

And should war come, that would be the end of GOP dreams of adding three-dozen seats in the House and half a dozen in the Senate.

Harry Reid is surely aware a U.S. clash with Iran, with him at the president’s side, could assure his re-election. Last week, Reid whistled through the Senate, by voice vote, a bill to put us on that escalator.

Senate bill 2799 would punish any company exporting gasoline to Iran. Though swimming in oil, Iran has a limited refining capacity and must import 40 percent of the gas to operate its cars and trucks and heat its homes.

And cutting off a country’s oil or gas is a proven path to war.

In 1941, the United States froze Japan’s assets, denying her the funds to pay for the U.S. oil on which she relied, forcing Tokyo either to retreat from her empire or seize the only oil in reach, in the Dutch East Indies. Read more…

Shoot Me, I’m American

Posted on February 4th, 2010 by Philip Giraldi

I would have thought that yesterday’s House Intelligence Committee comments by Director of National Intelligence Dennis Blair would have provided an “I can’t believe it” moment, but apparently not.  The ACLU might be preparing a position paper, but so far not a bleat out of anyone.  Blair said  that US citizens abroad might be killed by CIA or the Defense Department if they are “taking action that threatens Americans.”  He added that in so doing the government would “follow a set of defined policy and legal procedures that are very carefully observed” and described the policy as designed to “protect most of the country.” 

Well, I guess it’s tough luck if you’re not one of the “most” and I will definitely sleep better knowing that there is a “defined policy” being overseen by some dude at CIA or the Pentagon whose promotion prospects depend on killing terrorists.

I must admit to having a problem with extrajudicial killing unless someone is absolutely caught in flagrante because, as a former intelligence officer, I know full well how bad intelligence can be.  Would we be killing someone without any due process just because someone else bearing a grudge manages to plant some false info, as has occurred all too often in Afghanistan?  If it is true that something like 19 civilians die in drone strikes for every bad guy we manage to get, there is something seriously wrong with the intelligence and about the system in general.  And who makes the judgment of what constitutes something that ”threatens Americans”?  Blair went on to explain that being targeted might be based on being “involved in a group that is trying to attack us.”  Involved?  What does that mean?

Cover Story

Posted on February 4th, 2010 by Kara Hopkins

The incomparable Utne Reader has put together a slideshow recalling the Iraq War in magazine covers. TAC makes the cut. They chose our first cover, which seems conventional now, but at the time–six months before the invasion–pronouncing the anticipated “cakewalk” folly was a bold stroke for any magazine, and particularly one on the Right.

The Iraq War as Told Through Magazine Covers from Utne Reader on Vimeo.

Sun Tzu, American-Style

Posted on February 4th, 2010 by Daniel McCarthy

TAC associate publisher Jon Basil Utley has an interesting take applying the wisdom of Sun Tzu to America’s current foreign policy mess. Here’s a taste of his Antiwar.com essay:

America’s way of war is, actually, not so new under the sun. Centuries ago, China’s Sun Tzu would have recognized some of our ways and errors. Indeed he would be rolling over in his grave at seeing how his famous dictums for successful wars are ignored and violated by America: a trillion-dollar war in Iraq, losing our allies, creating more and more fanatical enemies willing to do suicide missions against us, borrowing from foreigners to finance our wars. In fairness, part of our failure is the simple determinant that democracies can’t run empires and most armies hate occupation duty. Our military still trains to re-fight World War II, not for unending wars of occupation and trans-national terrorism. So now we fear and isolate ourselves from most Muslims, nearly a quarter of the world’s population, and are nearly bankrupted. However, bin Laden’s campaign followed Sun Tzu’s teachings to a “T.” (See “How Bin Laden Bankrupted America.” For why we can’t win our wars, see Andrew Bacevich’s “When Was the Last Time We Won A War?“)

Following are some of Sun Tzu’s main maxims from The Art of War and how and why America breaks them:

“The best victory is to win without actually fighting. Supreme excellence consists in breaking the enemy’s resistance without fighting.”

Americans instead want to start the fighting; there is little interest in winning without war. Witness Iraq, where recent British government hearings on the war repeatedly cite how Washington wanted to get the war started as quickly as possible. Former Defense Secretary Rumsfeld was even reported as saying that Afghanistan, unlike Iraq, didn’t have enough targets that go “boom” for Washington’s intimidation strategy of “shock and awe.” There was little awareness of the warnings, such as stated by Israel’s murdered former president, Yitzhak Rabin, who opposed the first Iraq War in 1991, that no nation knows when it starts a war, where it will lead, nor what will be its final consequences. Above all, Sun Tzu warned, are the costs of wars, something almost irrelevant to the regimes in Washington.

There are several reasons for this. Many Washington interests benefit from wars (see below). It’s usually easy to sell the American public on going to war. War makes for exciting TV. Most Americans like to see video of fighter planes, missiles, tanks charging through the desert, and our brave fighting men (and women). War represents no fear of devastating consequences or costs to most Americans, or at least we used to think so.

Read the rest here.

Precedents of Reconciliation

Posted on February 3rd, 2010 by William Upton

Though for now the health care reform bill seems to be thoroughly beaten into the ground and going no where fast, I feel that there are a few problems that still need to be addressed with the whole process — the possibility of budget reconciliation and the new Republican loophole to that process.

First is the process of using budget reconciliation to pass either the entire health care reform bill or piecemeal changes to be added to the Senate version in the House (if the House were to bite the bullet and pass the Senate bill as is). The Hill notes that Senator Kent Conrad (D-N.D.) has publicly endorsed the idea of using reconciliation when previously — before Republican Scott Brown’s win in Massachusetts — he had opposed the use of the procedure. Senator Arlen Spector (R D-P.A.) has urged a similar course, urging the House to pass the Senate bill to be coupled with a set of changes passed by reconciliation in the Senate. With several powerful Democrats in the Senate toying with the idea of reconciliation, the parliamentary tool could gain traction as a real possibility, and successfully resuscitate the languid health care bill.

The use of budget reconciliation, however, would be a procedural disaster and ruinous in terms of setting new and heated partisan precedent — not to mention destroying any integrity the Senate has left. The Republicans should know very well about this, as should the Democrats. Reconciliation procedure was warped once before, by the Republican controlled Senate in 1996, opening the reconciliation procedure to more than just budgetary deficit reduction. Reconciliation was opened to any provision impacting a budgetary issue. The rule change by Republicans in 1996 has allowed for Democrats to have the ability to even consider this option today.

So Democrats, take heed. The use of reconciliation to pass the more controversial measures of health care reform could have long and lasting repercussions. This process could be used by a Republican majority in the future to pass equally controversial provisions, all under the guise of being budgetary issues.

On the Republican side of reconciliation there is perhaps the opportunity to set a very powerful and reasonable precedent. According to The Hill:

Republicans say they have found a loophole in the budget reconciliation process that could allow them to offer an indefinite number of amendments.

Though it has never been done, Sen. Jim DeMint (R-S.C.) says he’s prepared to test the Senate’s stamina to block the Democrats from using the process to expedite changes to the healthcare bill.
Experts on Senate procedural rules, from both parties, note that such a filibuster is possible. While reconciliation rules limit debate to 20 hours, senators lack similar constraints on amendments and could conceivably continue offering them until 60 members agree to cut the process off.

This action, if used, could set a long term precedent to be used by Senators seeking fiscal sanity. Lavish budgetary measures could be quashed if 41 Senators could be mustered to resist them. There is one pitfall, however, in that a minority of Senators could use the “amendment filibuster” to essentially hold hostage actual deficit reducing measures in order to force the funding of programs that might otherwise be cut.

When it comes to precedent, we can never be too careful. Long term repercussions can be hard to see, especially when one looks so short term as Republicans did in 1996 and as Democrats are now. Despite the need for caution and prudence, when the chance to set precedent that would allow for greater scrutiny and prudence to be used in the budget process, I say jump at the opportunity.