A three-day old Rasmussen poll shows Obama ahead 53-39 with 8% “not sure.”  Even if most of the late deciders go for Clinton, then Obama still ought to win by five points or more if we assume that these figures are right.  The crosstabs show a pattern very similar to South Carolina, where Obama wins almost every demographic by virtue of winning an overwhelming percentage of black voters.  The poll shows 22% of white voters backing Obama, which I believe is slightly lower than his share of that vote in South Carolina.

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