By Mingo
Posted on May 13th, 2008 by Daniel Larison
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West Virginia has gone to Clinton by 40+ points (90% reporting). The voters of Mingo County, one of the most Democratic parts of the state in the southwest, gave Clinton her most lopsided advantage, an 80-point margin, 88-8%. Between Clinton’s voters and die-hard Edwards supporters, almost three-quarters of the primary electorate voted for someone other than the presumptive nominee. Clinton has gained approximately 140,000 in the popular vote tally. The Clintonite slogan beginning tonight: “key swing states.” The Democratic race has already ended, and yet it will never end.
Filed under: politics
Democrats on Tuesday grabbed a once rock-solid Republican congressional seat in the southern state of Mississippi, in a result that will send shockwaves through President George W. Bush’s party.
Yeah, Obama is scared, I am sure.
The entire editorial staff of the WSJ should resign today.
They obviously need to clean house at National Review.
Instapundit should just shut it down.
For the good of the party and the conservative movement in general, not to mention the country.
The DNC is being very smart by running conservative/moderate Dems in these districts, as well as in Senate races. They will take 10-15 house seats and 4-6 in the Senate this November. Not quite enough for a fillibuster proof majority, but healthy gains nonetheless.
The DNC is being very smart …[yada yada yada]
Jeez, De Nile is a river in Egypt.
Facts won’t change minds. Outcomes wont change minds. Elections won’t change minds.
The hard core 20% are starting to remind me of a cult – just drinking the kool-aid while other perish right in front of them from taking the same drink..
“The entire editorial staff of the WSJ should resign today.
They obviously need to clean house at National Review.
Instapundit should just shut it down.”
All of this would have been appropriate six or seven years ago, if not earlier, but that’s another story. Obama should be scared. In one of the most Democratic years of the last 100 years, he is barely pulling 47% in most polls. If you can’t expand your coalition under these circumstances, something is amiss.
davegnyc.
I’m missing how the DNC recruiting good candidates who are good matches for their districts, plus fatigue and disgust with the Republican brand is leading to a Dem tsunami in the House and Senate constitutes “De Nile” It’s smart politics and candidate selection by Howard Dean & Co; more power to them.
” If you can’t expand your coalition under these circumstances, something is amiss.”
Oh, let’s just come out and say it, and quite pussy-footing around. When faced with two ideological clones, one white, and one black, the electorate of West Virginia overwhelmingly went with the white one. Geez, maybe “something is amiss”.
I’m not talking about the West Virginia electorate in that comment. He can’t break above 47% nationally in many polls. Maybe it is because of his race, or maybe it isn’t. Clinton can’t get above 47 or 48%, either. If this is as big of a Democratic year as it seems to be, they should be polling at 55% or higher. They underperform the generic ballot very badly. So, yes, something is amiss.
“When faced with two ideological clones, one white, and one black, the electorate of West Virginia overwhelmingly went with the white one. Geez, maybe “something is amissâ€.
One could make the same arguement with Asians or Latinos in California, who also rejected Obama pretty decisively.
“If this is as big of a Democratic year as it seems to be, they should be polling at 55% or higher.”
I think McCain’s popularity among many independent and even Democratic voters is suppressing what would probably be a wider margin for the Dems otherwise.
The GOP got lucky that he survived the primary season. A more conventional Republican, ala Romney or the others, would be faring worse. McCain’s reputation–earned or not–as a maverick who regularly bucks his party, is paying dividends in an election year where the GOP is highly unpopular. Couple that with the queasiness many Americans may feel over voting for either the first black or first woman president, and you get the 47% Dem ceiling appearing in most polls.
There is also the ABC outlier showing Obama 51-44.
… and with black voters in NC, PA, and IN, who did the same to Clinton.