Drill, Baby, Drill

Posted on September 6th, 2008 by Daniel Larison

Responding to Scott’s column on Palin, Rod concludes his post with this:

I caught some of her speech today live on CNN at a McCain-Palin rally in Colorado Springs, and she was droning on about John McCain in the Hanoi Hilton, using the exact same lines we’ve heard from the convention. She’s got to do better than that. How about talking less about who y’all are — which is impressive, and legitimately part of your pitch — and more about what y’all are going to do?

Well, yes, but what would they say after the first five minutes were up?  With the exception of a few nods to job retraining and school choice, and, of course, drilling and solidarity with Georgia, McCain’s own speech was blessedly free of talking about anything remotely resembling an agenda.  When she wasn’t making a fool of herself warning against the Great Venezuelan Embargo, Palin was, perhaps more understandably, similarly bereft of policy ideas in her speech.  Oh, but I believe she was in favor of drilling.  I did get that impression.  When the theme of the convention seems to have been, “Drill, baby, drill,” which is an energy policy in exactly the same way that, “Tax, baby, tax” is a fiscal policy (i.e., it isn’t), slogans are obviously all that the party has left.  Even if you think that increasing oil exploration and supply through more offshore drilling makes sense, you cannot really take these people seriously.  After months of mocking Obamaphiles for their ridiculous catchphrases and cultish chants, the Republicans have finally found the chants they can believe in.  The real trouble is that the people on the ticket are not saying much more than the chanting crowds.

However, that’s been the m.o. of the McCain campaign since last year: biography politics together with sloganeering and rote talking points instead of policy substance.  This was more or less how McCain’s primary campaign went: “Surge! Victory! Surge, Earmarks Are Bad, Surge, I Was a POW, Victory, Tax Cuts, Surge, Cause Greater Than Oneself, Surge!”  Since securing the nomination, he has not given many major policy addresses.  One of the few that he did give involved laying out his mad confrontational foreign policy vision, which has now boiled down to vilifying Russia and sabre-rattling against Iran.  A candidacy built almost entirely on the appeal of biography and character is not going to turn into a campaign that lays out a serious policy agenda.  As I have noted before, the danger is that the less wonkish, less policy-oriented candidate is unfortunately the person who wins presidential elections.  It is frustrating for the journalists, pundits and bloggers who follow the campaigns, but the reason why the McCain campaign’s focus is inordinately on biography is that the candidate who sells himself on his biography will usually prevail over the wonk.  It worked for Obama against Clinton, and it has already worked for McCain once this year.  However, in a race against Obama I’m not sure that the McCain/Palin combination of biographies will be enough. 

When McCain doesn’t know much about policy, and the VP nominee has to be brought up to speed to be on McCain’s level of policy ignorance, their speechwriters aren’t going to burden them with a lot of specific details, since these might prompt questions and require the candidates to understand what they just said.  When McCain does not understand that his own preferred policy of cap-and-trade involves mandatory restrictions on emissions, can’t keep straight which forces Iran is supposed to be backing inside Iraq and admits that he knows little about economics, first among the many other subjects about which he knows little, what is he going to talk about?  He will talk about being held captive and he will talk about reform–beautiful, nebulous, undefined reform.  Not to mention drilling.

4 Responses to “Drill, Baby, Drill”

  1. There are no signs that Palin is going to answer questions from the press and they would be the only audience to press her on her views and knowledge on policy. As such, it appears that McCain/Palin might take a lead in polls into the debates with the media focusing on the base’s reaction to Palin and her personal story.

    It remains to be seen whether Palin/McCain’s ignorance of substantive ideas in policy will be illuminated during these debates, which will be Obama’s best chance to put the election away. The inchoate policies of Palin/McCain might work to their advantage, as it seems America is still steeped in an anti-intellectualism landscape where any simplicity (DRILL, BABY, DRILL) trumps thoughtful, and therefore more complex, solutions. Another example of this is in foreign policy where tough and belligerent talk against Iran or Russia is more attractive and less flaccid than pragmatic options that won’t exacerbate the situation.

    As such, I definitely think there is a fairly decent chance that McCain could win this election in what was thought to be a Democratic year.

  2. Given the unbelievably low quality of the “grilling” the candidates receive at the hands of most of the media, the press unavailability of Palin is not much of a loss.

    The questions that I would like McCaesar to answer would be those that they ain’t never gonna ask. Such as “Acknowledging that China’s Central Bank is increasingly cash-strapped, how do you intend to fund our foreign adventures?” (business story at http://www.nytimes.com/2008/09/05/business/worldbusiness/05yuan.html?fta=y ) .

    Or we might ask, “Precisely how many of our troops are in the immediate vicinity of Georgia and Ukraine and, given the rapidity of Georgia’s most recent defeat, how quickly could they be deployed to back up a Nato guarantee?”

    For the record I don’t believe that Obama could give a satisfactory answer to the first question either, though he at least might be courteous enough to give a thoughtful one But, as I said, none of the grandstanding press would ask them anyway.

  3. Did NATO guarantee help if Ukraine is invaded? I know NATO is considering inducting Ukraine as a member, but I’m not sure if we’ve promised them anything at the moment.

  4. No, I don’t think that anyone has guaranteed anything, though Cheney shot his mouth off the other day. My point is that our forces would presumably either have to enter the field either through Poland or through the Black Sea,by which time I would guess Russia would have already been able to accomplish whatever it wanted to. McCain has supported NATO membership for Georgia and I am guessing that the rationales in favor of that (assuming arguendo that there are any rational grounds there) would apply with even more force to the Ukraine. So I think it behooves The Candidate to explain to us pot-smoking Peaceniks exactly how he means to back up the tough talk.

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