Virginia - McDonnell by 10

NYC Mayor - Sadly, Bloomberg is coasting to his ill-gotten third term just like FDR

NY-23 - Owens narrowly beats Hoffman, but in terms of a “Republican Civil War” Hoffman has already won

New Jersey - Most likely Corzine will win narrowly, but I am not ruling out the possibility that Independent Chris Daggett could pull a Ventura.  Like Ventura, Daggett goes into Election Day well into the teens against two very unpopular and possibly corrupt major party candidates who have been in a food fight.

Overall - Like all odd year elections, the long term impact is bupkus.  The Democrats still lead the RCP Average for the Generic Congressional Ballot 45-39.  The brilliant Nate Silver warns that the Democrats have to lead by at least twice that to avoid a net loss, but give it time, the Republicans probably peaked in August.

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